September was the third driest on record in Cumberland County dating back to 1954. Only one inch of rainfall for the entire month was recorded in Crossville. This is 3 inches below normal for September. We are now over 9 inches below normal for the year with seven of the nine months this year being below normal on rainfall . October is normally our driest month so we do not see much improvement in the drought situation anytime soon. November and December are two of our wetter months so I would expect things to improve at that time.
As you know we had a hot summer with quite a few 90 degree days, the jet stream was in a long wave pattern which means it has a tendency to go way up North into Canada in the summer and then it usually drops far to the South in the following winter which allows Arctic air into Tennessee at times. Some of our colder January’s have followed a weather pattern like we have seen since summer . Long-range snow prediction is more difficult as sometimes we have the cold air but not enough moisture, the average snowfall for the winter in a jet stream pattern like we are seeing is about 17 inches for the entire winter which is above normal. I also would not be surprised to see some early snow in November and December but I expect the worst winter weather in January.
This month we will see Peak colors of the leaves around mid October. We have some beautiful days this month with temperatures near 80 but we can also have a few nights near freezing.